prediction claim
The speaker does not expect a sudden discrete transition to fully general, human-like AI that can be deployed on arbitrary societal problems.
Andrej Karpathy · Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away · 17 Oct 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Because this assumption of suddenly having a completely intelligent,”
“fully flexible, fully general human in a box and we can dispense it at arbitrary problems in society.”
“I don't think that we will have this like discrete change.”Play from 1:27:53Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly