prediction claim
The speaker thinks the depicted timeline could instead be two months.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“but also maybe it could be two months.”Play from 47:41Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly