prediction claim
The authors hope that exposing enough of their work will elicit feedback from reality or sufficiently realistic simulations that provides useful information.
Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“you know isn't really well modeled and doesn't really make sense or people are able to make really good criticisms of it online that's basically reality yelling at us and trying to like help us see reason and our hope is that we can sort of like do enough of this sort of put up enough surface area so that we can sort of get that you know dose of reality from from the real world or from the simulation of the real world which we hope is realistic enough to sort of accurately give us that information”Play from 13:20Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly