prediction claim
The speaker estimates that developing substantially better reasoning, planning, and stable world models will take five to ten years.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I think it will take five or ten years to develop that.”Play from 1:56:51Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly