The speaker predicts that increasingly capable models will complete simple tasks with fewer tokens than less capable models because they require less verification.

“it's not quite true yet but it's very close where i think the frontier models will be pareto dominant over like almost everything you know like maybe and and sometimes i think i think opus might be pareto dominant you know what i mean like i think depending on like how things uh like shake out if it's like a newer version of opus but i think that like increasingly it's just going to be like the smart model is going to be able to like do”

“the simple task for less tokens than this like the the other models basically because of verification with verification in the limit your model doesn't need to verify right if it's a perfect model it just does the work once and it's like okay like you i did it you know and increasingly with fable i'm like i'm like do you need to spin up chromium and screenshot all these things like i”

“i see it like you you did it right and so a lot of the at higher effort you spend more of those tokens verifying but if you're working on simpler problems and a lot of software engineering is like you know like well like in fable like low and mediums ability it can spend less tokens verifying and as a model gets smarter and smarter they will just be able to like”

“all right done you know like i can run the lint for sanity's sake but like i like know it lints you know what i mean like you don't even need to do that and that will be so much more token efficient than like the the smaller models basically yeah”