prediction claim
The speaker thinks further 0.1% loss reductions are probably still possible, but expects fewer such improvements than have already occurred.
Unidentified speaker · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“i think my my prior is that like again the low-hanging fruit is like somewhat exhausted with like like we got the internet as this big block and like there's it's not like the internet is necessarily like growing at the same like rate and all the useful stuff on the internet is growing at the same rate so like we've probably got like a bunch of like 0.1 percent loss drops to go but like not definitely not as many as have currently occurred”Play from 1:07:22Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
88%confidence the claim was read correctly