Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

In the AI 2040 Plan A scenario, human-level cloud AI workers can substitute for humans in nearly all work, are cheaper and faster than humans, and double in number annually rather than requiring 20 years to reproduce.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“but nothing super beyond that but even that alone like you just do the economic modeling and it's kind of like you have this population of colleagues in the cloud that are you know excellent workers that can substitute for humans at basically everything except that they're cheaper than humans they're faster than humans and they don't take 20 years to reproduce instead instead they double every year you know and so as a result the whole world is just completely transformed by the late 2030s”
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