prediction claim
Daniel Kokotajlo expects the trend responsible for roughly a 1,000-fold speed-up relative to past eras to continue rather than stop.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Now, all that we're saying here is that it's not going to stop, is that the same trend that has caused us to have a thousand times speed up multiplier relative to past eras and not even the Paleolithic, like even what happened in the century between,”
“I don't know, 600 and 700 AD.”Play from 30:31Report a misattribution
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