descriptive claim
The reliability-over-time curve uses a substantially different y-axis scale.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“The argument was that you're getting the same kind of curve,”
“but the scaling was completely different on the y-axis.”Play from 1:13:34Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
45%importance to the conversation
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