prediction claim

If tasks that AI cannot automate account for only a small share of the economy, automating the remaining tasks could still produce substantial economic growth.

Unidentified speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“no if there's one though like if that's a small part of the economy then you could just still get a lot of growth you just automate everything else and that is going to produce a lot of growth”

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85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true

80%importance to the conversation

94%confidence the claim was read correctly