4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
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Daniel Kokotajlo estimates that current research proceeds at roughly 1,000 times the speed of research in the Paleolithic.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

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“In terms of general speed up, we're already at like a thousand times research speed up multiplier compared to the Paleolithic or something.”
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