opinion claim
Daniel Kokotajlo is unsure whether the anticipated AI transition will be less smooth than earlier historical transitions.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We're not sure about that,”
“actually.”Play from 31:16Report a misattribution
55%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly