4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
opinion claim

Daniel Kokotajlo expects claims that AI progress will stop to be vulnerable to substantial out-of-model error.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Well, we don't know. Whatever claim you're making about that is something where you would expect there to be a lot of out of model error.”
28:24Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.70importance to the conversation
0.94confidence the claim was read correctly