opinion claim
The speaker characterizes Daniel Kokotajlo’s 2021 forecast as containing a couple of hallucinations while being basically well-intentioned and correct.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“It's amazing. Kind of looks like you asked chat GPT, summarize the past five years of AI progress.”
“You've got something with like a couple of hallucinations, but basically well-intentioned and correct.”Play from 2:08Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly