prediction claim
The speakers are uncertain about the scale of civil-society opposition to AI and the resulting difficulties for AI companies.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We also are pretty uncertain how much opposition there's going to be from civil society and how much trouble that's going to cause for the companies.”Play from 1:43:30Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly