prediction claim
The speaker expects that AI systems will probably not remain confined to data centers, because other countries—especially China—will develop superintelligence around the same time.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“We expect that probably not to happen because we think that other countries, especially China,”Play from 1:14:19Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
95%importance to the conversation
92%confidence the claim was read correctly