prediction claim
The speaker expects the White House and an AI-company CEO to negotiate a deal after threatening one another, rather than execute their threats and enter a major conflict.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“to threaten here's all these orders i could make you know defense production act blah blah blah i could like do all this terrible stuff to you and basically disempower you and take control and then the ceo can be like threatened back and be like here's how we would fight it in the courts here's how we would fight it in the public you know here's here's all this you know stuff we would do and after then they both do their posturing with all their threats then they're like okay how about we have a contract that like you know instead of instead of executing on all of our threats and having all these crazy fights”
“it's in public we'll just like come to a deal and then have a military contract that like sets out like who gets to call what shots in the in the company”Play from 1:40:00Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly