causal claim
Daniel Kokotajlo says population-to-ideas feedback loops stopped functioning after the population bottleneck, followed by a period of stagnation.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Like the usual population to ideas,”
“flywheels stopped working,”
“and then we stagnated for a while.”Play from 32:12Report a misattribution
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70%importance to the conversation
92%confidence the claim was read correctly