4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker expects investigations of this kind to place substantially greater weight on competence within roughly six months to one year.

Dwarkesh Patel · Ajeya Cotra – Inside the OpenAI agent swarm that hacked Hugging Face · 1 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“and i feel like uh yeah as maybe six months from now or a year from now to be able to do an investigation in something like this just like it'll be so much more like um competence weighted and honestly my concern as a result is like a default way of doing it it's like an institution which doesn't have say your track record or technical expertise tl dr if it's just like a normal government inspection i think it's just gonna like just not be useful at all”
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