prediction claim
In the speaker's hypothetical, AI shifts the work balance from 50% simulation and 50% testing to 90% simulation and 10% testing.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“simulate more things than humans in a gradually increasing way so that if humans are now at 50% simulation,”
“50% testing,”
“the AI is quickly guided up to 90% simulation,”
“10% testing.”Play from 1:23:35Report a misattribution
70%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly