The speaker recalls that in 2021 some AI thinkers believed coding agents were solved and GPT-4 would perform engineering work, enabling a 100-fold scale-up.

“you could have told the story in 2021 once gpt comes out i think i had friends who are like you know credible ai thinkers who are like look you've got the you've got the coding agent now it's been cracked now the gpt4 will go around and they'll do all this engineering and we do this all on top we can totally scale up the system 100x and”