Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
descriptive claim

The speaker says it is unknown how well the base model would perform at writing in this task, compared with the models users encounter.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“we don't know how the base model would have done at this task.”
Play from 2:57:50Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
50%importance to the conversation
93%confidence the claim was read correctly