causal claim
Wargaming cannot specify a war's exact sequence of battles in advance because war is complicated and affected by enemy actions.
Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“where you're never going to sort of predict the exact, you know, sequence of battles and exact sequence of sort of how your war will go at the beginning because,”
“you know, it's just going to be really complicated. There's going to be enemy action.”7:47Report a misattribution
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