4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

Building a unicorn startup and achieving a billion-dollar valuation are verifiable real-world outcomes, but they are long-horizon and expensive to verify.

Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“for example, you know, building a unicorn startup,”
“you know, having a billion dollar valuation,”
“that's a verifiable fact about the real world.”
“It's long, it's sort of like long horizon.”
“it's expensive to verify, but it's sort of a quantitative thing of like, you know, you got on one side, right,”
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