The agentic coding-task graph shows the task duration at which AI performance crosses over from success to failure increasing each year since 2023.

“so so the way I would interpret this graph and I'm sure many of our audience has already seen this but they have this you know they they have this suite of agentic coding tasks uh that are sort of organized from uh”

“from shortest to longest in terms of like how long it takes to human beings to complete the tasks and then they note that you know the AIs of 2023 could generally speaking do the tasks from here to here but not do the tasks above this length but then each year like the crossover point has been lengthening and a very natural interpretation of what's going on here is that the AIs are getting more reliable you know if they've ever if they have a chance of getting into some sort of catastrophic error”