4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

Constraining expected cost does not eliminate long-tail outcomes.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Like the one big disadvantage of like this expected cost is for instance you don't get rid of long tails,”
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