4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
opinion claim

Most people following AI have underestimated both the pace of technical progress and the pace at which AI is deployed or diffused into the world.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Yeah, I think in general, most people following the field have been have underestimated the pace of AI progress and underestimated.”
“made the pace of AI diffusion into the world.”
12:32Report a misattribution
0.85how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.80importance to the conversation
0.90confidence the claim was read correctly