prediction claim
The speaker suggests that the scenario's 2027–2028 intelligence explosion compresses roughly 50–70 years of progress—comparable to reaching 2070 or 2100—into those two years.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I think it might be useful to think of our timelines as being like 2070,”
“2100.”
“It's just that the last 50 to 70 years of that all happened during the year 2027 to 2028 because we are going through this intelligence explosion.”Play from 21:23Report a misattribution
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