prediction claim
The speaker suggests that increasingly capable AI systems may advance simulations that incentivize progress in AI research and development and science more generally.
Dwarkesh Patel · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
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“and you just continue that on i mean i know if that's been powered by huge amounts of compute scaling and so forth but um uh it would be weird if like it just didn't get to the point where it could like dominate humans at least in r&d especially over the next few years there's going to be ryan greenbaum was on the podcast recently and he made this point that you could imagine as ais get more and more capable and are capable of making progress on”
“simulations which incentivize getting better at not only AI R&D but generally at science so this is the thing that all the labs targeting many startups are targeting or another intuition pump is if you look at the ELO score of chess bots since the 80s there's just like a very linear increase in ELO over time but there's this huge discontinuity as they cross the human range of human experts always win against AIs to like human experts never win against AIs”Play from 5:35Report a misattribution
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