causal claim
The speaker says intergroup violence tends to occur when one group has an overwhelming advantage that makes acting relatively easy for it.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“it tends to happen in cases where one group has an overwhelming advantage,”
“this is relatively easy for them.”Play from 2:11:52Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly