Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The speaker predicts that a minimum viable AI agent capable of handling the described task will probably exist by the end of 2025.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“kind of do that but unreliably and that if you actually like tried to use that to run your life it would make some hilarious mistakes they would appear on twitter and go viral but that like the MVP of it will probably exist by this year like there'll be like some twitter thread about someone being like I plugged in this agent to like run my party and it worked”
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