Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The speaker suggests that extrapolating current models may yield many easy gains, but achieving greater or full automation could require overcoming other cognitive-ability bottlenecks.

Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“with um if if they're doing somewhat complicated writing you still people still need to be doing that and that's somewhat surprising because they've had so much data uh they've had all the data in the world basically and likewise for coding they have had github so that at least b it is it's potentially um the case that as you extrapolate them out they'll get a lot of the low-hanging fruit, but it crossing some sort of threshold for doing”
“more automation or full automation that could actually require resolving some of these other bottlenecks that are other other cognitive ability bottlenecks that that Gary is alluding to”
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