Scott Alexander says Eli Liffland belongs to Samotsvety, has won a leading forecasting competition, and may be the world’s best forecaster according to technical measures used in the Superforecasting community.

“attempted to sacrifice millions of dollars in order to say what he believed which to me was this incredibly strong sign of honesty and competence and I was like how can I say no to this person everyone else on the team also extremely impressive Eli Liffland who's a member of Samotsveti the world's top forecasting team he has won like the top forecasting competition plausibly described as just the best forecaster in the world”

“at least by these really technical measures that people use in the Super Forecasting Committee,”