prediction claim
There may be multiple ways to cure cancer and achieve the other goals being discussed, and researchers will seek the approach with the fewest bottlenecks.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We're assuming that there may be more than one way to cure cancer,”
“more than one way to do all of these things, and they'll be working on finding.”
“the one that is least bottlenecked. Part of the reason I realize I spent too long talking about that robot example,”Play from 58:16Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly