prediction claim
The speaker does not think AI will surpass human abilities across the relevant dimensions within two years.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Again,”
“I don't think it can happen in two.”Play from 2:02:30Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
78%confidence the claim was read correctly