Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
descriptive claim

In the pre-Midway war games, Japanese planners manipulated outcomes by restoring destroyed aircraft carriers and rerolling successful American strikes until those strikes failed.

Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“in particular where the japanese before the battle of midway did a bunch of war games they did like a three-day retreat where they like war gamed it out a bunch of times and then they kept losing and then they they would they would sort of break the game they would like re resurrect their aircraft carriers after they died they would like re-roll the dice on like whether the americans succeeded when they succeeded so that you know they would sample until you know the americans strikes failed”
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