descriptive claim
The number of readers AI 2027 received was a 90th-percentile outcome relative to the team's prior predictions.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We made predictions beforehand about how many people would read it and it was 90th percentile outcome.”4:38Report a misattribution
1.00how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.50importance to the conversation
0.95confidence the claim was read correctly